VC

May 4, 2025

Published 1 month ago

Highlights

  • Huawei is rapidly building a 7nm chip production line in Shenzhen, aiming for a vertically integrated domestic AI semiconductor ecosystem, including deep ultraviolet lithography 1.
  • Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) upgraded its recommendation algorithm to Grok 3.5 AI, with Grok 4.20 AGI in development, signaling ongoing advances in consumer-facing AI 2.
  • Shell is considering a potential acquisition of BP as BP’s shares drop, while Shell announces a $3.5B buyback; activist pressure and asset sales continue at BP 3.
  • Warren Buffett will step down as Berkshire Hathaway CEO at the end of 2025, with Greg Abel set to succeed; Buffett will remain as advisor and retain his stake 4.
  • BlackRock’s IBIT spot Bitcoin ETF saw $675M in daily inflows, now holding 607,685 BTC and dominating 52.7% of the U.S. Bitcoin ETF market; Ethereum and real-world asset tokenization ETFs also saw strong inflows 5.
  • Coinbase CEO claims the U.S. is targeting $600B in Bitcoin reserves, with proposals for a 1M BTC government reserve; debate continues over feasibility and market impact 6.
  • Palantir shares have surged nearly 65% YTD, leading the S&P 500, with expectations high ahead of Monday’s earnings and a SaaS-driven growth narrative 7.
  • Apple is shifting iPhone launch cycles, with iPhone 18 Pro/Pro Max in 2026, standard model delayed to 2027, and a foldable iPhone planned; iPhone 17 Air will launch in 2025 as an ultra-thin model 8.
  • Netflix reports $2B economic impact in India; JioStar to invest $10B in content by 2026, following a major Disney asset merger and rapid subscriber growth 9.
  • Freight Technologies plans to invest up to $20M in Trump Official memecoin ($TRUMP) despite an 82% price drop, reflecting growing institutional interest in political tokens 10.
  • Elon Musk to step back from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) after claiming $160B in savings; legal and political uncertainties remain over permanence of federal cuts 11.
  • President Trump says he will not remove Fed Chair Powell before his term ends in 2026, but continues to criticize Powell and signal potential policy shifts 12.

Commentary

This week’s news underscores the accelerating convergence of technology, geopolitics, and capital markets, with implications for both early-stage and growth-stage VC deal flow. Huawei’s aggressive move to build a domestic 7nm chip supply chain—complete with homegrown lithography capabilities—signals China’s intent to close the gap with Western semiconductor leaders 1. For VCs, this could catalyze a wave of investment in Chinese deep tech and AI startups, but also heighten regulatory and competitive risks for U.S. and European portfolio companies in the chip and AI hardware space.

On the AI front, Musk’s deployment of Grok 3.5 on X and the tease of Grok 4.20 AGI highlight the rapid commercialization of advanced AI models in consumer platforms 2. This raises the bar for AI startups: incumbents are moving fast, and differentiation will increasingly depend on proprietary data, vertical integration, or unique distribution channels. The SaaS-driven surge at Palantir , now the S&P 500’s top performer YTD, further illustrates investor appetite for scalable, sticky AI-enabled software platforms—a trend likely to buoy valuations for similar growth-stage companies, though multiples may become stretched 7.

In digital assets, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF dominance and the U.S. government’s rumblings about massive Bitcoin reserves signal growing institutionalization of crypto 56. The inflows into spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, plus the rise of real-world asset tokenization, suggest that blockchain infrastructure and compliance-focused fintech remain fertile ground for early-stage capital 5. However, the volatility of meme tokens (e.g., Freight Technologies ’ $20M bet on TRUMP ) and shifting regulatory winds warrant caution—investors should be vigilant for speculative excess and potential policy reversals 10.

Strategic shifts in consumer tech (Apple ’s staggered iPhone launches and foldable roadmap) and content (Netflix /JioStar’s India expansion) point to ongoing platform fragmentation and global market opportunities, especially in emerging economies 89. Early-stage VCs should watch for startups enabling device differentiation (e.g., foldables, under-display sensors) and digital content localization. Meanwhile, macro uncertainty—Buffett’s succession, Shell’s M&A calculus, and political signals from Washington—could impact exit timing and public market sentiment, especially for late-stage and pre-IPO companies 3412.

Bottom line: The competitive landscape is intensifying across AI, chips, fintech, and content. VCs should prioritize companies with clear moats, global ambitions, and regulatory agility, while keeping a close eye on macro signals that could affect valuations and liquidity windows.

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